Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.908179 2.181707 2.480806 2.832193 3.233811 3.678653 4.208968
2024-12-29 1.483247 1.851193 2.289893 2.851771 3.552903 4.399823 5.502033
2025-01-05 1.215710 1.611742 2.112939 2.794307 3.697736 4.856459 6.458996
2025-01-12 1.025983 1.429112 1.964802 2.729539 3.795249 5.231055 7.318550
2025-01-19 0.875406 1.272668 1.823337 2.643486 3.836831 5.514742 8.062488
2025-01-26 0.830013 1.254100 1.864764 2.809709 4.239265 6.328328 9.627366
2025-02-02 0.791442 1.238691 1.905505 2.974054 4.649279 7.185315 11.336905
2025-02-09 0.747355 1.208419 1.918306 3.093305 4.997260 7.975389 13.016093
2025-02-16 0.693756 1.156362 1.890329 3.142469 5.234977 8.609614 14.502467
2025-02-23 0.626261 1.074038 1.804763 3.087250 5.293455 8.955081 15.539415
2025-03-02 0.573294 1.010162 1.742397 3.062652 5.397214 9.379081 16.741926
2025-03-09 0.535978 0.969121 1.713880 3.091755 5.593157 9.972385 18.289135
2025-03-16 0.498908 0.925815 1.678921 3.108810 5.774262 10.564855 19.910830
2025-03-23 0.466603 0.888039 1.650304 3.134600 5.973820 11.209124 21.694354
2025-03-30 0.425494 0.829578 1.578101 3.071225 5.998636 11.530327 22.890815
2025-04-06 0.387862 0.773977 1.505821 2.999991 5.999885 11.803857 24.015628
2025-04-13 0.351416 0.717114 1.425760 2.905341 5.944782 11.960603 24.917352
2025-04-20 0.349641 0.729500 1.481910 3.088173 6.463748 13.297518 28.361624
2025-04-27 0.347114 0.739984 1.534908 3.268948 6.994415 14.703870 32.086115
2025-05-04 0.339304 0.738562 1.563224 3.400125 7.431916 15.954577 35.595326
2025-05-11 0.324609 0.720951 1.556055 3.454207 7.707573 16.885558 38.489382
2025-05-18 0.300958 0.681527 1.498940 3.393464 7.724328 17.256971 40.159299
2025-05-25 0.282114 0.651100 1.458658 3.366406 7.813584 17.794433 42.258916